Earlier this month, a major historic landmark was reached with little fanfare. For the first time ever, the majority of the Chinese population lives in cities. This fact merited a mere sentence in a Chinese government press release. Where it was reported by Western media, it was viewed at best with indifference and at worst as a grim omen of problems ahead. So it’s about time someone sounded the horns and declared ‘three cheers for the Chinese city dwellers!’
It’s hard to overstate the pace and scale of this achievement. According to the Chinese statistics bureau, 691million people now live in cities, amounting to just over 51 per cent of the population. Compare this with 1949 when the Chinese Communist Party came to power: a mere 10 per cent of Chinese people lived in cities. Not that this marked the start of the urbanisation. Far from it. Indeed, between 1960 and 1978, China’s urbanisation rate dropped by 1.8 per cent, a result of government policy to ‘ruralise’ China, sending 16million urban students back to work in the fields. By 1980, the urban population was still less than 20 per cent.
So it is even more remarkable to think that the vast majority of the urbanisation of China has taken place since the 1990s, when the Chinese government finally accepted that it was impossible to have industrialisation without urbanisation, abandoning its policy of ‘leaving the land but not the villages, entering the factories but not cities’. According to one report, this same landmark in proportion of people living in cities took about 200 years in Britain, 100 years in the US and 50 years in Japan.
And there looks to be no let up in the speed of change any time soon. Many analysts predict that the number of people living in cities could reach 70 per cent – approximately one billion people – by just 2030. Indeed, according to The Economist, in terms of income per head, China is actually less urbanised than you might expect by comparison to other countries’ development historically. This landmark achievement of 51 per cent living in cities only brings it into line with the global average. In America, for example, 82 per cent of the population lives in cities.
Not only has change happened faster in China than anywhere else, but the scale of rural-to-urban migration is unprecedented in human history. An estimated 300million people have moved into cities in just over a couple of decades. With 691million people living in cities, China has more city dwellers than any other country on the planet, more than the second (India, with 377million) and third countries (the US, with 256million) put together.


