Coronavirus and the culture of fear

Overreacting to this new virus could do great harm to our societies.

Frank Furedi

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There is nothing unusual about the outbreak of a new virus. In fact, in recent years, such outbreaks have become almost normal. Avian flu in Hong Kong in 1997, the West Nile virus in New York in 1999, the MERS virus discovered in Saudi Arabia in 2012, the outburst of ebola in West Africa… all of these indicate that outbreaks of new strains of virus are a recurring feature of the global era.

The outbreak of coronavirus in Wuhan, China is the latest example of a new virus being seen as a threat to all of humanity. There is little doubt that this virus is a serious health threat. At the time of writing, it has already killed 170 people. Many more will die.

Governments and health professionals need to be vigilant and proactive in containing the threat. However, there is a danger that an epidemic of hasty overreaction could prove to be a greater threat than the virus itself.

As with every recent outbreak of a new virus, governments, the global media and various institutions seem incapable of responding to coronavirus in a cool, rational way. They seem unable to calculate the risk posed by this virus. One reason for this is that scientists and health professionals tend to be far more anxious about a novel outbreak of virus than they are about more familiar strains of flu. In a social climate dominated by a culture of fear, there is always an expectation that the next outbreak of a novel virus will be The Big One.

There is nothing unusual about the spread of flu. Every year thousands of people die from the flu. Society has learned to cope with the flu threat. From time to time, an outbreak of flu turns into a global pandemic, leading to a catastrophic loss of life. ‘The big one is coming, and it’s going to be a flu pandemic’, warned CNN’s chief medical correspondent recently. He added that, according to experts, ‘when it happens… it will probably have a greater impact on humanity than anything else currently happening in the world’.

Such alarmist statements are driven by an attitude of ‘not if, but when’. Such assertions are often accompanied by scare stories about the 1918 influenza epidemic that killed around 50million people worldwide. In recent years, public-health officials have come across as would-be stars in a disaster movie. They frequently argue that, since humanity has experienced deathly flu pandemics in the past, it is inevitable that we will face another one soon.

‘Major pandemics sweep the world every century, and it is inevitable that at least one will occur in the future’, said Professor Maria Zambon, a virologist and the head of Britain’s Health Protection Agency’s influenza laboratory. For good measure, she added that ‘we can never be completely prepared for what nature will do: nature is the ultimate bioterrorist’.

Yet despite all the scaremongering, humanity has demonstrated a formidable ability to deal with new strains of viruses. The good news is that we have the resources and technical tools we need to tackle the coronavirus. Scientists in Australia have managed to recreate this new virus in what they have called a ‘significant breakthrough’. Scientists in China have also recreated it and shared its genome sequence with the World Health Organisation.

Compared with previous eras, we have a fairly effective warning and tracking system that allows the authorities to take the necessary precautions against new ailments. In many ways, the Chinese government has shown some exemplary initiative in dealing with this new virus.

But this capacity of human science and technology to cope with this latest outbreak of virus stands in sharp contrast with modern society’s more feeble moral and cultural coping mechanisms. There has been far too much finger-pointing and blame – particularly directed at China. Is it any surprise that conspiracy theories are flourishing on social media? Some conspiratorial-minded fools claim coronavirus came from China’s biological-warfare programme. Others insist tens of thousands of people have already died, but it is being covered up. One conspiracy theory asserts that the virus came from a Winnipeg microbiology lab.

Another regrettable outcome of the scaremongering and the blame-game has been the targeting of Chinese and East Asian people living outside of China. In France, one local newspaper, Le Courier Picard, ran with the alarmist headlines ‘Alerte jaune’ (‘Yellow alert’) and ‘Le péril jaune?’ (‘Yellow peril?’). In case anyone didn’t get the message, the paper’s front page showed a Chinese woman wearing a protective mask.
Such alarmism and panic are inevitable when governments fail to communicate a balanced narrative of the threat facing society. In such circumstances, people become unnecessarily fearful and all sense of realism is lost.

No one knows exactly when and how coronavirus will be contained. No one knows how many lives will be lost. But the thing we all know is that, in the real world, right now, coronavirus is less of a threat to human life than ordinary flu. During this year’s flu season, 8,200 people have been killed, and there have been at least 15million cases – and that is just in the United States. As William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, explained, ‘When we think about the relative danger of this new coronavirus and influenza… coronavirus will be a blip on the horizon in comparison’.

It is always risky to make a prediction about the likely outcome of a virus outbreak. All loss of human life is a tragedy. But this threat is entirely containable. Let’s not make the threat worse by overreacting to it.

Frank Furedi’s How Fear Works: the Culture of Fear in the 21st Century is published by Bloomsbury Press.

Picture by: Getty.

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Comments

s Sanz

31st January 2020 at 6:58 pm

Not a very useful article, missing most of the main salient points – how about the first doctors who tried to report this are arrested for spreading rumours … see https://youtu.be/HE7Iz7HLpYg or the maths behind the infection’s spread and how many victims need ICU beds, see http://stephenhunt.net/coronavirus-its-just-the-flu-right-so-why-has-china-shut-down-their-country/

Jim Lawrie

30th January 2020 at 11:18 pm

It is stretching things to piggy back the culture of fear line onto this. No-one I know gives a toss. My only concern is that The Chinese are not telling us the whole story.
The media are in a newsloop on it because they have nothing to say, although they are spinning that nothing into hour long programmes, because they don’t want to talk about Brexit, and have yet to figure out how to blame the coronavirus on it. Rather disappointingly for them no cases have so far been detected in Britain, but there are a few dozen in Italy, Finland, France and Germany.
Let’s get our MEP’s back home to safety.

Geoff Cox

11th February 2020 at 8:48 am

Quite, Jim. The media (and the left) know who to weaponise emotion. That’s all they do nowadays.

As I often say, where will they go when they really do have an important story to report? All the expletives and adjectives and grim faced newsreaders and all the graphs and programme formats will have been used up! Will it be the case of the boy who cried wolf?

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Romeo Almond

18th February 2020 at 1:13 pm

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Ellen Whitaker

30th January 2020 at 4:30 pm

I don’t completely agree. Yes, there’s a lot of flu, but if you get ordinary flu, you’re much less likely to die, than if you get this new virus. I think mortality rate matters (for the new coronavirus, it’s seems to be about 3%, significantly lower than MERS, SARS, or ebola, but significantly higher than for common flu strains). The big problem is the speed at which people travel, and the numbers traveling. This is something new in the world. We should take advantage of each of these outbreaks, to learn to improve methods of containment and speed up making vaccines.

steve moxon

30th January 2020 at 5:54 pm

All of the parameters are as yet unknown, Ellen. There are very varied estimates of the transmission and mortality rates, and no idea of who is most badly affected — the line from the PRC is so untrustworthy that it’s more likely to be the opposite. They have a vested interest in greatly playing down what’s going on, so as to maintain the mass quarantine: enough cases to make people think quarantining is needed, but not enough to get them into thinking they have a real risk of getting it themselves and therefore should make a run for it.

steve moxon

30th January 2020 at 11:45 am

?! There is no ‘culture of fear’ here. There is justified concern about an as yet unknown but potentially cataclysmic situation; one that is clearly going to massively outstrip the SARS episode — there are already more cases, and this is still an early stage of the epidemic, given that there has only just been breakout from a core area, and epidemiologists estimate the peak may not be until May.
The problem is the secretive Chinese state being entirely untrustworthy as to any data on the epidemic. Making craters in all roads in/out of a region of 60 million people indicates they think they have a nightmare situation beyond imagining, not the low number of deaths and cases reported. The actual cases and deaths could be orders of magnitude greater.
Note that multiple reports have emerged — despite rapid state censorship — of deaths being mis-recorded to hide that they are from the new virus.
The Chinese state itself likely has little but the vaguest idea of the scale of the epidemic, so will be unable to report it at all accurately even if it wanted to, which most certainly it has not ever since it took the decision to quarantine en mass — it is essential that they minimise public alarm, otherwise there would be mass movement on foot to escape the region.
Nobody can yet say what is going on, other than it will dwarf the SARS outbreak. It may or may not be far more transmissable than previous infections, and it may or may not have a higher mortality; and it may or may not target mainly older people. There is not only insufficient information but no basis of accepting any of what little information there is as being even remotely reliable.

Vadar’s Hate Child

30th January 2020 at 12:58 pm

Where is the evidence to support your assertions? I hope it’s not come from loadofbollocks.com

steve moxon

30th January 2020 at 3:03 pm

Evidently that’s where you actually live, you clot. My post was about NOT making assertions!

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