Stop getting all Biblical about the bushfires

Angry summers are nothing new in Australia.

Nick Cater
Columnist

Since Hollywood is supposed to inject drama into our lives, we can hardly complain about the hyper-dramatised version of world affairs presented from the stage of this week’s Golden Globes.

Australia’s bushfires were perfectly timed to feed the industry’s voracious appetite for suspense, emotion and existential threats from unnatural forces.

Cate Blanchett paid tribute to volunteer firefighters ‘battling the climate disaster’ in her home country. ‘When one country faces a climate disaster, we all face a climate disaster, so we’re in it together’, she said.

Events in the Middle East were seamlessly woven into the narrative. ‘We see a country on the brink of war, the United States of America… and the continent of Australia on fire’, said Patricia Arquette. ‘While I love my kids so much, I beg of us all to give them a better world.’

The elevation of this year’s bushfire tragedy as Hollywood’s cause du jour is not without material benefit. Phoebe Waller-Bridge announced she would auction her Globes tuxedo to raise funds for bushfire relief. Millions of dollars have been pledged in charitable assistance from the stars themselves, tens of millions from corporate philanthropists, and untold millions through social-media channels they have promoted.

Yet Hollywood’s romantic presentation of the bushfires as a parable of human folly is about as faithful to reality as Kate Winslet and Leonardo DiCaprio’s performance on the bow of the Titanic.

Rather, it is a product of the cultural pessimism that has driven Hollywood since the arrival of the anthropogenic disaster movie in the 1970s.

The sharp change in the prevailing wind is evident in the contrast between Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid (1969) and Earthquake (1974). Butch Cassidy (Paul Newman) is a loveable outlaw in a frontier state, blessed with unlimited opportunities for redemption. Stewart Graff (Charlton Heston) in Earthquake is a shame-faced engineer crawling through the wreckage of Los Angeles, encountering nature’s revenge against a species that has been too clever by half. ‘For the first time in my life, I’m ashamed of my profession’, he confesses.

Were Bushfire to become a movie, it would tell the story of nature’s revenge on Australia, once regarded as an idyll occupied by noble savages living innocent lives in harmony with Mother Earth.

The arrival of modernity aboard the First Fleet in 1788 triggered a perceived outbreak of human rapaciousness that continues to this day, based on the assumption that humankind could plunder nature’s bounty with impunity.

Since Australians are commonly believed to have the second-largest carbon footprint on the planet, a claim that is both inaccurate and misleading, nature’s fury is understandable under the circumstances.

There are not enough waterbombers in the world to rescue the smug and greedy Aussies from this one. Repentance is the only path to salvation.

If the best way to reduce the bushfire threat is to end global consumption of fossil fuels, Australians will be at the mercy of many more angry summers to come. There would be little they could do to help themselves. Even if Australia cut all its emissions, they amount to a share of the global total of little more than one per cent.

Besides, the portrayal of bushfires in Australia as a byproduct of modernity hardly stands scrutiny. The native eucalyptus trees, rich in inflammable oil and shedding large volumes of dry bark, have achieved an evolutionary advantage through their ability to facilitate and survive fires.

Aboriginal people used fire as a hunting weapon. Early settlers to Australia were warned to be wary of bushfires, ‘one of the most remarkable circumstances peculiar to the Country’, as the Sydney Times reported in 1837.

‘Seldom a night passes, but the horizon is illuminated by the tremendous fires which rage in every direction of the compass, and blaze in a greater or less degree according to the nature and thickness of the bush, and the degree of wind blowing’, the newspaper reported, in an account that could be recycled to describe conditions in much of south-eastern Australia this summer.

‘If any remedial measure can be suggested by any Reader of ours’, the article optimistically concludes, ‘we shall be thankful for the favour of hearing from him’.

Angry summers once united Australians in a battle that pitted human ingenuity and courage against a common enemy. The burden fell principally on communities rather than governments, with more than 180,000 volunteer firefighters serving in little platoons across the country.

Operations were coordinated in each of the six states and two territories, rather than from Canberra, a division of responsibility both constitutionally and logistically sound.

Today this pragmatic, bottom-up approach to fighting bushfires, evolving over more than 200 years of European settlement, is contested. The challenge is intellectual, stemming from the conviction that the complexity of bushfires can be reduced to a single grand theory that will inform the application of a grand solution. Proponents argue that the federal prime minister should take charge of this crisis, for the solution is national and international, not local.

Inevitably, bushfire-management policy has been engulfed by the phenomenon we might call the politicisation of almost everything. It has descended into an unseemly, sniping public argument over academic theory where pragmatism was once the order of the day.

Black and white judgements have been made where nuance was once demanded. Both sides attempt to arm themselves with silver bullets. Each side argues its case on terms incomprehensible to its opponents. Positions harden, false motives are attributed, moral virtue is claimed and the country is at loggerheads.

An early casualty of this fractious debate was the prime minister, Scott Morrison, denting the authority he has enjoyed since winning an election against the bookie’s odds last May.

The trap was set early by the climate-explains-everything movement. Australia was dragging its heels on climate-change action, it declared, and Morrison was heedlessly, and probably malevolently, steering the nation towards disaster.

That narrative was palpably false. Australia is one of a handful of nations to exceed its Kyoto emissions-reduction targets, and will probably beat its Paris targets as well.

The carbon footprint of the average Australian has shrunk by a third since 2005 and the carbon intensity of the economy has fallen by a quarter, a record far better than comparable developed nations like Canada.

Yet the case against Morrison was pursued to the point of exhaustion on both social and traditional media, which, blinded by confirmation bias, insist on portraying him as the dolt they would like him to be, unconcerned by either climate science or bushfire relief.

Never mind he has mobilised Australia’s reserve defence forces to assist with evacuation and the delivery of supplies to isolated fire-affected settlements. One journalist reproached him on Twitter for arriving to meet firefighters without water or snacks to share from his pocket.

As a committed Christian, he is criticised for offering not just thoughts but also prayers by those who find religion distasteful.

Damned if he does tour ravaged communities, damned if he doesn’t, Morrison’s real crime is to be a prime minister from the tradition of Australia’s pragmatic centre-right in an era when feelings prevail.

Nick Cater is executive director of the Menzies Research Centre and a columnist for the Australian.

Picture by: Getty.

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Comments

David Porter

12th January 2020 at 4:16 am

So far I’ve evacuated my house twice. Yesterday the warning level dropped to Advice but today it’s back at Watch and Act. I’m not looking for sympathy–I have an effective sprinkler system and home insurance.

The ‘sky is falling’ narrative from the media and social media and the politcal attacks on the PM have not been of any assistance at all, to anyone. Plus metropolitan and rural firefighting has always been a state, not federal, responsibility. I thought those people refusing to shake the PM’s hand were rude (and I’m no fanboy of the PM). Today I read an article in The Guardian linking the fires to Australia’s historic dispossession of aboriginals. Even ignoring the obvious historical innacuracy–it was Britain that colonised what became Australia, so it’s all Harry and Meghan’s fault–the thesis is so stupid it made me wonder if the author was being satirical.

I have been amazed how almost everyone jumped on the “it’s climate change” bandwagon without a shred of evidence. That is classic confirmation bias. Nobody suitably qualified has yet asserted, with reference to facts, that the current fires existed only because of, or were exacerbated by, anthropogenic global warming. It may be global warming, it may also be various oceanic rainfall drivers not favouring rain overall eastern Australia and it may poor fuel reduction burning. It may be all 3 and it may be different for the different fires across a very big country.

A calm and sober assessment of future fire mitigation strategies is about the only the useful thing anyone can do. In reality, there aren’t many options–lots of little fires to reduce fuel loads or a few big fires. Planning controls to limit building near bushland and to require fire-resistant house (1) will not reduce fires, although it may reduce their impact and (2) have other problems–many Australians love living in the bush in houses that are not fire bunkers.

Any assertion that any law can be passed in Canberra to reduce global temperatures and the intensity of bushfires in Australia must be rejected as false. China, the USA, the EU, Japan, Russia and India account for 67% of global CO2 emissions. Australia is about 1.15%. Do the maths.

NEIL DATSON

11th January 2020 at 6:16 pm

As others on this thread have observed there have always (at least in terms of any possible human conception of the term ‘always’) been bush fires in Australia. Some planned and managed by people, some not planned and managed by people. But what nobody else on the thread seems to have commented on is that while the planet’s climate has always changed and will always change there is a currently a disturbing tendency to elide the distinction between climate change and anthropogenic climate change. The second, in so far as it exists, is clearly a disappearingly small sub-set of the first. That doesn’t mean that mankind shouldn’t strive not to pollute, but it is only good sense to put that effort not to pollute into a meaningful context.

I now rarely listen to the BBC news as its blatant pro-EU bias got the better of me. Yet whenever I catch mention of the bush fires in Australia it always seems to be contextualised with reference to ‘the climate emergency’ or similar green propaganda. Even supposing – for the briefest possible moment – that the fashionable XR thinking about the bush fires was correct, from where do these ridiculous people imagine that Scott Morrison is going to get the magic wand that they presuppose he can wave to stop fires breaking out and spreading now? Yet people seem to be trying to pin blame on a man who has been Prime Minister for less than six months. Their dishonesty is shameless.

PJ Heritage

11th January 2020 at 9:49 pm

Firstly, a fact check: Scott Morrison became Australia’s PM on August 24 2018 and has been in the job for almost 18 months, not six.

Secondly, Nick Cater, one of the most right-wing columnists in Murdoch’s The Australian broadsheet, chooses to ignore or mention Morrison’s leadership failings on the bushfire issue.

He sums it up thus: “As a committed Christian, he is criticised for offering not just thoughts but also prayers by those who find religion distasteful.

“Damned if he does tour ravaged communities, damned if he doesn’t, Morrison’s real crime is to be a prime minister from the tradition of Australia’s pragmatic centre-right in an era when feelings prevail.”

This is pure spin. Morrison has been lambasted for taking a family holiday in Hawaii during the bushfires and not telling anyone and also having his staffers lie about it.

He has also been criticised for his response to the fires, the way he walked away from a pregnant single mother who had just lost her home in the fires, and for wrongly saying on Kangaroo Island that nobody had died in bushfires there when in fact two people has been incinerated just a few days earlier.

In yesterday’s Weekend Australian its Associate Editor Caroline Overington even wrote a piece headlined “Morrison’s troubles all of his own making” which lists the many blunders he has made as a leader in the past month.

Over the past few weeks smoke from the KI bushfires has been wafting across the gulf here in Adelaide, where Cater where once worked, while the Adelaide Hills have endured a bushfire that took dozens of homes and livelihoods. People are angry about the lack of response and initial preparedness and what the next few months may hold.

I would compare Morrison’s response to the bushfires to GW Bush’s response to Hurricane Katrina. He is not so much being blamed for the disaster as for his response, and for Nick Cater to totally gloss over Morrison’s failings seriously misrepresents the mood and the reality for those of us living in the midst of what is going on.

NEIL DATSON

13th January 2020 at 7:48 am

Firstly PJ, an apology. I should of checked Morrison’s date of assuming office more carefully, although the same argument clearly applies; he wouldn’t have had time to do much to ‘correct’ the climate. And on the BBC reports I’ve heard that is the clear implication of what he has been accused of failing over.

I’m afraid I really can’t get excited about Cater being ‘right-wing’ or who he works for.

PJ Heritage

13th January 2020 at 12:05 pm

No worries Neil. The BBC is pushing woke spin and Nick Cater (a Murdoch columnist who heads a right wing think tank that funds Morrison’s Government – see Cater’s Wikipedia page for further details) is pushing conservative spin against it. That’s the issue here. The truth is the first victim in this culture war.

Morrison’s approval rating dropped 9 points in this morning’s first Newspoll of the year and Labor’s Anthony Albanese is today the preferred PM, something his predecessor Bill Shorten could not come close to achieving during his six years in Opposition.

Albanese has hardly said or done anything of note in the past month, it’s just that Morrison’s performance has been so dire.

Believe me, this is not because people are blaming Morrison for climate change inaction; rather it is based on what he has said, done and not done in the past month.

farkennel smith

11th January 2020 at 6:02 pm

What the hell is the matter with you cynical basstards?Greta Thunberg and Russell Crowe said the bushfires are caused by climate change.Their post graduate and doctoral scientific credentials,(plus their combined 65 years research in the field) are impeccable and beyond question.How dare you question such intellectual giants.

David George

11th January 2020 at 5:42 pm

Re the claims of unprecedented/record high temperatures – and the spurious and predictable assertion that it’s all down to man made climate change: They are nothing new in the Australian context and neither are the bush fires. There has been a campaign to discredit pre 1910 climate records (for obvious reasons) you can’t deny facts like the 435 people died in the 1896 heatwave or the 1851 fires that devastated vast areas of South Australia.
“The temperature became torrid, and on the morning of the 6th of February 1851, the air which blew down from the north resembled the breath of a furnace. A fierce wind arose, gathering strength and velocity from hour to hour, until about noon it blew with the violence of a tornado. By some inexplicable means it wrapped the whole country in a sheet of flame — fierce, awful, and irresistible.” Wrote (rather beautifully) one observer.
Fire is such an endemic feature that several plant species can’t germinate without it and creatures have evolved/adapted over millennia to benefit from it.
Have a look at a great recent documentary on Aussie wildlife – Episode one of “Magical Land of Oz” narrated by Barry Humphries (relevant section starts at 47 minutes) It showed a controlled burn. There’s a bird (the Black Kite or Fire Bird to the aboriginals) that makes a great living catching the animals fleeing the flames. This beautiful creature has evolved an additional trick. It takes a burning stick, flies some distance with it then drops it in a fire free area and thereby spreads the fire in the hope of more tasty fare. How dare you!

Michael Lynch

11th January 2020 at 4:32 pm

I’ve read elsewhere that the bushfires in 1974 were far worse. Or, at the very least, comparable. It’s funny what a bit of research turns up.

Gerard Barry

11th January 2020 at 4:29 pm

It’s quite disturbing how “climate change” is now being held responsible for every single bad weather event that happens, no questions asked. Equally disturbing is how so many of the people in the “climate change movement” have radical left-wing views and zero credentials or expertise in any scientific field, let alone in the field of climate. Only yesterday, I saw pictures on TV of a protest in Australia where one placard showed a hammer and sickle and said something (negative of course) about capitalism. Another placard was held by a kooky-looking young women with dyed red hair. Her placard showed a drawing of planet earth, with the words “‘I’m with her” written underneath (the feminist tone was clear). Why are these people being taken seriously on the subject of “climate change” when it’s obvious they know nothing about it?

There is a very real danger that “climate change” will be used by the far left to come to power and force their communist, authoritarian vision for humanity on to society. We need to open our eyes. I’ll only listen to scientists on the subject of climate change. Not leftists, not feminists and not teenagers mitching off school on a Friday.

IAN WALMSLEY

12th January 2020 at 11:35 pm

Your Comment GERARD “It’s quite disturbing how “climate change” is now being held responsible for every single bad weather event that happens, no questions asked”. This is why the “Believers” changed the name from Global Warming to Climate Change, just so they could bring drama to any major or minor weather event. I saw somewhere that they were trying “Climate Adjustment”, but that didn’t gain any traction at all.
All the useful idiots who participate in the ‘school day off’ marches must really warm the heart of Greta Thunberg. These marches attract every lefty loony with all sorts of weirdo causes. They only join in because they would look marginally more stupid marching by themselves down MacQuarie Street.
And of course, David Attenborough, who must have one of the largest carbon footprints in the History Of The World since he’s been flying about now for a good while on the Climate Change speaking circuit and tripping about for decades doing documentaries. And what about the staged animal ‘action scenes’ David, all towards the support of your Climate Change Agenda. Do you have a “No Animals were harmed in the making of this Documentary” statement at the end of each program?
PM Scott Morrison has called for a Royal Commission into these latest fires. One wonders why he doesn’t just have a read of the conclusions reached from the Inquiries into the 2009 Black Saturday fires or even the 2002-03 Canberra and Victoria fires. I’ll save you time and money Scott, it ‘aint Climate Change.
To announce yet another Royal Commission or Inquiry into the latest fires brings no confidence when the recommendations from the previous two have not even been followed up by the State Governments. Just another gabfest to waste another few million which could go to buying firefighting aircraft. But the marching idiots don’t think of that, only making sure they get a selfie with a friend in MacQuarie Street from a phone charged up with coal-fired power.

Ven Oods

11th January 2020 at 1:33 pm

Well, if we ever did wonder what 25+ years of exam grade inflation and not teaching students to think for themselves would do…. behold. Everything’s down to climate change and if you don’t agree, you’re no-platformed.

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11th January 2020 at 5:30 am

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michael harris

10th January 2020 at 10:05 pm

We have eucalyptus forests in Portugal – they were imported to feed the pulp industry and they are responsible for our most devastating fires. In summer 2017 over 100 people were burned to death.
The eucalyptus – native to Australia – is an anti- human tree. It propagates through fire; only the temperatures of the infernos can burst the seedpod of the species. The bark of the tree separates from the trunk when ablaze and is carried by the wind – sometimes for miles – to start new blazes at a distance.
In 2018 the Eucalyptus fire on Monchique in the Algarve travelled 25 kilometers towards the coast in 3 days. As many of this species should be cut down as possible.

Gareth Edward KING

12th January 2020 at 10:59 am

Yes, the species responsible are Eucalyptus globulus or E. gunni, but you’re giving examples of self-seeded trees which behave as invasive species. The genus grows quickly, takes up a lot of water from the soil and smothers other trees, but in a controlled plantation it does provide for a quick supply of pulp for the paper industry. Both Portugal and NW Spain (Galicia) provide material for the pulp industry as the tree grows better in areas with high rainfall, a high minimum temperature mean and sunlight. In continental Iberia it can’t be grown. Surely, to avoid devastating summer fires the local authorities need to beef up their fire-fighting services. You can’t be envisaging that people rip up the trees themselves? In any case, Portugal is in no position to un-do the gains brought to the economy by the pulp industry.

Amanda Purdy

17th January 2020 at 8:59 pm

The tree is the problem, pull them out. What would be better for the pulp industry is to grow hemp. In higher rainfall areas you can get two crops a year. It nitrogen fixes the soil and makes great paper, ropes clothing etc. it was banned in 1920s mainly at behest of ICI who were producing nylon ropes because of its association with marijuana.

Dominic Straiton

10th January 2020 at 7:55 pm

For 50 thousand years the Aboriginal people of Oz cleared the land in winter because they new that was the way to control their environment, and provide for plentiful bounty. Then the green movement decided they knew better and their mental patient followers decided to burn the place to ashes. Looks like “white privilege” has actually made things worse for the first time in history. Well done the loons on the enviro mentalism left take a bow for stopping back burning and the up keep of fire brakes. California is also alight with green moronism. Meanwhile bone dry and green free South Africa is not burning.. Time to set fire to the enormous piles of money in the Greenpeace and WWWF offices who are at this very minute desperately shafting 10-15 year old children via their absurd and completely wrong ” teachers” in the British “education” system. Come on Boris pull your finger out. You have five years before your fcd

David Watford

11th January 2020 at 1:31 am

The Aborigines didn’t not burn the entire continent every Winter. They burnt the plains, to open them out and encourage regeneration of grass for seed harvesting and to attract Kangaroos, and around favourite campsites. As the article says, there were still plenty of bushfires when it was first settled and Aborigines were still burning the land. Australia conducts large hazard reduction burns every winter (though Victoria only burnt 1/3 of what they set as a target in 2019) which accomplishes the same thing.

These fires are designed to take out ground cover and stop fires burning up into the treetops when they become extremely dangerous and fast moving. In hot strong wind though that can’t be stopped. The RFS was reporting in only a tiny reduction in the strength of the fires in areas that had been burnt last Winter.
To claim that these fires are caused by climate change and not others in past years, or the recent terrible fires in California, is absurd. The temperature is increase by 0.015-0.020C per year. The notion that C02 reductions is the cure is even more absurd. First we have to stop putting more C02 into the atmosphere than the planet can absorb, and even with radical cuts in the Developed World, that is still decades away, then you have to wait for C02 to decline which the IPCC says will take over 200 years. So we are going to have to cope with an increase in the frequency of severe fires in areas that are prone them. There is no miracle cure and a range of measures are going to have be tried and tested. The first thing should be instead of NPWS managing forests as untouched wilderness, and the RFS struggling to stop fires in National Parks burning into surrounding areas destroying property and taking lives when they escape from National Parks. They will have to work together to prepare defenses in advance and fight fires aggressively when they threaten communities and endangered species.

Carl Black

10th January 2020 at 7:32 pm

Yes But what I the Kyoto and Paris agreement targets were insufficiently strenuous. Also since when did Australia live in a bubble immune for the greenhouse effect that ignores national boundaries?

Dominic Straiton

10th January 2020 at 9:11 pm

Earth avoided the green house affect a billion years ago.Its not coming back any time soon what ever we or cows do. You must think humans are some kind of parasitic insect .Did you know that termites are responsible for more co2 than all human activity?. The inconvenient truth much like Al Gores fully insured beach front mansion payed for with green bollox

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Jerry Owen

10th January 2020 at 4:53 pm

Not to mention the 180 plus arrested for suspected arson, people start fires not climate change. The climate in Australia is well within the parameters of the last two hundred years of climate / weather records kept.

Jim Lawrie

10th January 2020 at 10:18 pm

That has been common practice in Greece for decades. Supposedly to put pressure on the Government in Power. I’d like to know the politics of those arrested in Australia.

Brandy Cluster

11th January 2020 at 7:48 am

I wondered about that myself as it’s the highest number of arsonists we’ve ever had. And they have zero to fear in the Australian court system.

My child works at a very high level in our government and I keep telling my adult child to constantly reiterate “scientific data is needed to show demonstrable outcomes of global temperatures from any action Australia takes; that we cannot squander our standard of living for symbolism or feel-goodism”. Keep pumping that out because science is just pseudo-science if it can only be USED by one side and not the other. It’s a game ALL PARTIES CAN PLAY.

When a link was found between cigarettes and lung cancer the ‘science’ was then used to provide data on improvements to health when smoking was quit. That’s what we need with climate change – otherwise it’s a bullshit paradigm used by activists to bludgeon the party it doesn’t like and to strip Australia of its wealth. You can feel the envy and hate!!

A smart leader will get that and use it to ram home the talking points.

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